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April, 2016
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Dear Friends and Partners,
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While reading this, many of you will be wondering about the economic perspectives in crop production, given the most recent decline in global commodity prices. As you may guess, this was a key topic at our conference and we published a Cash Crop Report with some key findings.
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| Furthermore, agri benchmark has conducted some in-depth research on the economic consequences from the lift of the EU sugar quota system from 2017 onwards. |
| Finally, with support from UFOP and the Canola Council of Canada agri benchmark has conducted a series of case studies on the on-farm competitiveness of different oilseeds in Canada, the Ukraine and Hungary. It seems that in several locations soybeans will become a real challenge to rapeseed. |
| We hope you’ll find this information useful. |
Yelto Zimmer
Coordinator of agri benchmark Cash Crop Network
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agri benchmark Cash Crop Report
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2014 was a challenging year for many crop producers in the world. While prices were still relatively high when comparing them to pre-boom levels they have gone down now for the second time in a row. In countries such as the USA, this decline was rather sharp while in others such as Brazil, Russia or the EU, it was only modest – mainly because of currency devaluation.
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| In this report we take a closer look at the following topics: (1) Economics of global wheat production, (2) How profitable is irrigation in corn, (3) On-farm competitiveness of rapeseed vs. sunflower and soybeans and (4) Economics of rice production in typical farms in Africa and Asia. |
» Cash Crop Report 2015
Report 2015/3, pdf-document, 4.693 KB
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EU Sugar beets – significant reallocation likely to happen
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From 2017 onwards the EU quota system for sugar will be abolished. This system has led to a situation in which growers have a license to produce and sell at very attractive prices.
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| Without a quota system the competition on the European sugar market will increase and most likely will lead to much lower sugar beet prices. A recent agri benchmark research project conducted by Raphael Albrecht shows that we can expect a strong reallocation of sugar beet production within the key regions. |
» EU sugar beet production - Perspectives for a non-quota situation
(pdf-document, 520 KB)
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Rapeseed or soybeans - On-farm competitiveness of oilseeds
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With the change in the overall economic situation in crop production the question arises whether and to what degree this will also impact crop choices of growers. Furthermore, new investments in breeding made it possible to expand the soybean acreage to the North in America.
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| Please read more about agri benchmark case studies on the on-farm competitivness of different oilseeds in Canada, the Ukraine and Hungary. It seems that in many cases soybeans will become a real challenge to rapeseed. The 2015 Cash Crop Report does contain some key findings. |
» ab Press Release: Where agronomically possible, rapeseed faces fierce competition
(pdf-document, 335 KB) |
| » ab News and Results: Rapeseed, sunflower or soybean – which oilseed crop has the highest on-farm competitiveness? |
agri benchmark in the media
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Technological and Economic Options from a Global Perspective
Presentation at the 4th International Agro-technological Conference, Rostov-on-Don, March 2015 in the framework of the German Russian Agripolicy Dialog by Yelto Zimmer
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» Пшеница:
технологические и экономические перспективы в мировом масштабе (in Russian and English)
Агробезопасность No.2 (26) | |
A new Paradigm for Global Agricultural Commodity Markets?
Yelto Zimmer´s thesis paper is challenging the hypothesis of a lasting increase in commodity prices; it was published in different languages |
» Is there any reason why agricultural prices should remain high in the long term?
DLG-Newsletter 02/2015 | |
» ДОВГОТЕРМІНОВІ ЦІНИ НА СІЛЬСЬКОГОСПОДАРСЬКІ ТОВАРИ БУДУТЬ СУТТЄВО МЕНШИМИ, НІЖ ДЕХТО ВВАЖАЄ – Long-term prices for agricultural products will be less than expected (in Ukrainian)
Agrobiznes Ukraine 02/2015 | |
» Por qué caerán los precios de los commodities – Perspective of agricultural commodities prices (in Spanish)
CATEDRA AVICOLA 03/2015 | |
» Новый взгляд на будущее мирового рынка сельхозпродукции? - The future of the global market of agricultural products? (in Russian)
Sovecon 04/2015 | |
Last year agri benchmark partner Pipat Weerathaworn visited AGRITECHNICA in Hanover and the agri benchmark Center in Braunschweig. Back in Thailand he has been interviewed about perspectives of the Thai Agriculture and his insights from AGRITECHNICA and discussions with his agri benchmark partners.
» Report from agritechnica fair 2015 (in Thai)
Kehakaset, 01/2016 | |
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